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Fed Rate Cuts FED降息

English translation German translation - Deutsche Übersetzung French translation - Traduction française Italian translation - Traduzione italiana Spanish translation - Traducción española Portuguese translation - Tradução portuguese Chinese translation - 中国翻译 Japanese translation - 日本翻訳 Korean translation - 한국 번역 Arabic translation - الترجمه العربيه

The MasterTrader eBook(R). 该MasterTrader电子书(注册商标) 。 Your Complete Guide To Active Trading 您的完整指南,交易活跃
If you’re serious about making money from trading stocks each month (or each day!) as easily as possible to generate a regular income for yourself, then this will the most important message you read today.如果你是认真的赚钱买卖股票每月(或每一天! )为尽可能方便地生成一个经常性收入为自己,那么这将是最重要的讯息今天您阅读。



Author: Ramachandra Bhagavatula, a managing director New York hedge fund 作者: Ramachandra Bhagavatula ,总经理纽约对冲基金



    "What is happening is that household net worth is not growing by leaps and bounds - if anything it is going down - [which means] people actually have to start saving out of their current income. That has negative effects on spending growth. In many ways, I think the next five years in this economy could look like Japan after 1990. The big [growth] you got in variety of asset classes - financed by borrowing because of extraordinarily low rates - will come out. When you look at the economic landscape, stock prices are too high, house prices are too high, and you put all the pieces together and the size of the adjustment needed seems reasonably large. How many years does it take? Who knows? It doesn't necessarily mean we have five years of recession - maybe just 3-4 quarters of recession." “什么正在发生的是,家庭净资产不增长的跨越式发展-如果有的话它正在下降- [这意味着]人实际上已经开始节省了他们目前的收入。这负面影响支出的增长。在许多方法,我认为在未来五年的经济发展可能会像日本在1990年以后。大[成长]你在不同的资产类别-融资借款的,因为非常低的利率-将出来。当你看到的经济风景,股票价格太高,房价太高,你把所有的作品一起和规模的调整需要大批似乎合理。如何多年没有考虑?谁知道呢?这并不一定意味着我们已经五年来的经济衰退-也许只有3 -4季度的经济衰退。 “
*** "The Fed finished the year with those three rate cuts I called for back in May," says our currency counsellor, Chuck Butler. *** “联储完成了今年的三个降息我呼吁在5月回说, ”我们的货币辅导员,查巴特勒。 "And just to refresh your memories, I've also said that the Fed will continue to cut rates in 2008, until rates get to 3-3.25%. That's at least another 100 BPS, folks...think we'll be getting foreigners to line up at the door for our 3% yielding assets? Ooooh...the thought of it is giving me goose bumps! “和刚刚刷新您的回忆,我也说,美联储将继续降息的预期在2008年,直至到达率3-3.25 % 。这至少100基点,人...认为我们将得到外国人排队在门口为我们的3 % ,资产收益率? Ooooh ...想到这是给我鸡皮疙瘩!

"Yesterday, I also said that the we might see the Fed change their wording of 'balanced growth'. They didn't go so far, but they did say, 'Economic growth is slowing, reflecting the intensification of the housing correction and some softening in business and consumer spending. Moreover, strains in financial markets have increased in recent weeks.' “昨天,我也说,我们可能会看到美联储改变其措辞'平衡增长' 。他们没有去迄今为止,但他们说, '经济增长正在放缓,反映了加强住房校正和一些软化的商业和消费者支出。此外,菌株在金融市场增加了在最近几个星期。

"Hmmm...doesn't sound as if growth is balanced with risk/inflation, does it? So why didn't they just drop the bias? Because, they know that it could 'spook' foreign investors. And when foreign investors get spooked, they don't buy our assets, and when they don't buy our assets, the current account doesn't get financed, and when the current account doesn't get financed...the dollar gets weaker!" “ Hmmm ...没有健全的,如果增长是平衡风险/通货膨胀,不是吗?那么为什么他们没有放弃偏见?因为,他们知道,它可以'不安'外国投资者。而当外国投资者获得惊吓,他们不买我们的资产,而当他们不购买我们的资产,经常帐户没有得到资助,当经常帐没有得到资助...得到美元疲软! “

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